Monday, July 27, 2015

Why Pakistan Cannot Nuke India..



Pakistan and India two countries of Southeast Asia who are emerging as nuclear powers have many disputes among each other on many topics whether it is Kashmir issue or regards terrorist activities both the countries blame each other for violence in each others state. The tension among these two countries is not a matter of concern for Southeast Asia but it will affect the whole world.

India is a peaceful nation and Indians have shown their respect for peace many times at many places like DRC (Democratic Republic of Congo) and many other international events in which India is emerged as the promoter of peace, on the other side Pakistan who always try to take down India’s reputation and peace keeping operations by disturbing in passive ways or promoting terrorist activities in India. Almost all most wanted terrorist of the world can be found in Pakistan but still Indian government is trying hard to maintain stability in the region by various diplomatic efforts instead of having a capable military power who can vanish Pakistan from world map.
Pakistan-India rivalry is world renowned but the seriousness of the issue increased when a huge increase in nuclear programs is observed in both the countries which is ultimately complimenting their nuclear arsenal. Nuclear programs is mainly used to generate electricity but they can also produce weapon grade plutonium if we kept them on less than their full power Pakistan have three breeder reactors of Khushab series It bases its assessments on the three operating reactors having a power of 40-50 megawatts, in which case, operating at 50 percent capacity, they could each produce 5.7 to 7.1 kilograms of weapon grade plutonium per year. At 80 percent capacity they could each produce 9 to 11.5 kilograms of plutonium. Based on these calculations, Pakistan has accumulated about 170 kilograms of plutonium from the Khushab I and Khushab II reactors. It claims this would suffice for approximately 35-40 warheads of 4 to 5 kilograms of plutonium per warhead. If Khushab-III began operating in early 2013, the first batch of its spent fuel could have been taken out already, cooled and become available to be reprocessed in 2014 or possibly 2015.
 
Pakistan has a fast-growing arsenal but still pales in comparison to India’s a number of reports, including from the IPFM  that show India “is expanding and adding several un-safeguarded facilities in its military nuclear fuel cycle suitable for producing fissile material,” and has the world’s fastest growing nuclear program.These include the rare materials plant centrifuge facility; a second plutonium production reactor; and one 500 megawatt electricity experimental fast breeder reactor. In addition, four reprocessing plants of 350 thm/year [tons of heavy metal per year] are in operation, an industrial-scale 500 thm/year reprocessing plant and another large industrial scale centrifuge enrichment plant are in the pipeline along with four additional” fast breeder reactors by 2020.As of the end of 2013, India’s fissile material stockpiles include 800-1,000 kilograms of weapon-grade plutonium from CIRUS and Dhruva-1 production reactors; 2 tons of highly enriched uranium [HEU] from RMP; and 15 tons of weapon-usable reactor-grade plutonium from its pressurized heavy water reactors [PHWRs].The significance of these cannot be underestimated.These stocks are outside [International Atomic Energy Agency] safeguards and are sufficient for producing about 250 warheads from weapon-grade plutonium; 40 warheads from HEU; and 1,875 warheads from reactor-grade plutonium, which was used in one of India’s 1998 nuclear tests.Additional capabilities will be added within the next three to five years, he said, that could produce another 171 kilograms of weapon-grade plutonium.These figures would add up with existing capacities and would allow India to produce about 100 warheads from weapon-grade plutonium and HEU each year in addition to 50 warheads from one PHWR run on low-burn up.

“Even if a fraction of the other seven PHWRs are used to produce fuel for India’s fast breeder reactors as claimed, these can still add another 137 weapons worth of fissile material each year, “Compared to this, Pakistan’s total existing and expected annual fissile material production capacity from four Khushab plutonium production reactors is not more than 46 kilograms of weapon-grade plutonium and 100-125 kilograms of weapon-grade HEU, only sufficient for 17 warheads annually.”
To nuke India is the dream of every Pakistani but this dream is not gonna be true ever cause India aslo has a clear advantage in nuclear warfare plus India also have a Ballistic Missile Defence and according to recent test BMD seems very promising in doing its job. India doesn’t only have an upper hand in its warheads but Indians also have one of the most versatile delivering system in the world. India have Brahmos which can carry nuclear warhead at supersonic speed and currently enjoying the honor of world most dangerous cruise missile plus India have Nirbhay long range cruise missile which can deliver its packet upto 1500 kms at subsonic speed and India also have variety of tested IRBM’s,ICBM and SLBM’s

#predator

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